Page 87 - Demo

%u062c%u0645%u064a%u0639 %u0627%u0644%u062d%u0642%u0648%u0642 %u0645%u062d%u0641%u0648%u0638%u0629 %u0640 %u0627%u0625%u0644%u0639%u062a%u062f%u0627%u0621 %u0639%u0649%u0644 %u062d%u0642 %u0627%u0645%u0644%u0624%u0644%u0641 %u0628%u0627%u0644%u0646%u0633%u062e %u0623%u0648 %u0627%u0644%u0637%u0628%u0627%u0639%u0629 %u064a%u0639%u0631%u0636 %u0641%u0627%u0639%u0644%u0647 %u0644%u0644%u0645%u0633%u0627%u0626%u0644%u0629 %u0627%u0644%u0642%u0627%u0646%u0648%u0646%u064a%u062987lOMoAR cPSD|10120753Forecasting models often are used to forecast sales. The user of this type of model might supply a range of historical data to project future conditions and the sales that might result from those conditions. The decision maker could vary those future conditions (entering, for example, a rise in raw materials costs or the entry of a new, low-priced competitor in the market) to determine how new conditions might affect sales. Companies often use this software to predict the actions of competitors. Model libraries exist for specific functions, such as financial and risk analysismodels.Among the most widely used models are sensitivity analysis models that ask %u2015whatif questionsrepeatedly to determine the impact on outcomes of changes in one or more factors. %u2015What-if analysis%u2014working forward from known or assumed conditions%u2014allows the user to vary certain values to test results to betterpredict outcomes if changes occur in those values. What happens ifwe raise the price by 5 percent or increase the advertising budget by $100,000? What happens if we keep the price and advertising budget the same? Desktop spreadsheet software, such as Microsoft Excel or Lotus 1-2-3, is often used for this purpose . Backward sensitivity analysis software is used for goal seeking: If I want to sell 1 million product units next year, how much must I reduce the price of the product?Sensitivity analysisThis table displays the results of a sensitivity analysis of the effect of changing the sales price ofa necktie and the cost per unit on the product%u2019s breakeven point. Itanswers the question, %u2015Whathappens to the break-even point if the sales price and