Page 30 - Demo

%u062c%u0645%u064a%u0639 %u0627%u0644%u062d%u0642%u0648%u0642 %u0645%u062d%u0641%u0648%u0638%u0629 %u0640 %u0627%u0625%u0644%u0639%u062a%u062f%u0627%u0621 %u0639%u0649%u0644 %u062d%u0642 %u0627%u0645%u0644%u0624%u0644%u0641 %u0628%u0627%u0644%u0646%u0633%u062e %u0623%u0648 %u0627%u0644%u0637%u0628%u0627%u0639%u0629 %u064a%u0639%u0631%u0636 %u0641%u0627%u0639%u0644%u0647 %u0644%u0644%u0645%u0633%u0627%u0626%u0644%u0629 %u0627%u0644%u0642%u0627%u0646%u0648%u0646%u064a%u062930Attentional bias %u2013 the tendency to neglect relevant data when making judgments of a correlation or association.Availability heuristic %u2013 estimating what is more likely by what is more available in memory, which is biased toward vivid, unusual, or emotionally charged examples.Availability cascade %u2013 a self-reinforcing process in which a collective belief gains more and more plausibility through its increasing repetition in public discourse (or \long enough and it will become true\Base rate neglect or Base rate fallacy %u2013 the tendency to base judgments on specifics, ignoring general statistical information.Belief bias %u2013 an effect where someone's evaluation of the logical strength of an argument is biased by the believability of the conclusion.Clustering illusion %u2013 the tendency to see patterns where actually none exist. Also referred to as \Conjunction fallacy %u2013 the tendency to assume that specific conditions are more probable than general ones.Forward Bias - the tendency to create models based on past data which are validated only against that past data.Frequency illusion - the illusion in which a word, a name or other thing that has recently come to one's attention suddenly appears \improbable frequency (see also recency illusion). Sometimes called \phenomenon\Gambler%u2019s fallacy - the tendency to think that future probabilities are altered by past events, when in reality they are unchanged. Results from an erroneous conceptualization of the Law of large numbers e.g. \times consecutively, so the chance of tails coming out on the sixth flip is much greater than heads.\Hindsight bias - sometimes called the \effect, the tendency to see past events as being predictable at the time those events happened. (sometimes phrased as \20/20\